KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBR - KBR, Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$38.58
0.68 (1.79%) ▲
5d: +0.55%
30d: +6.13%
90d: +20.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.14
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $38.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.50 to $37.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $38.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KBR scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.71 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $35.50 - $37.92
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.50 - $37.92
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.70
Resistance Level $38.95
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.49
Wall Street Target $45.71 (+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.1%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 9.5 vs 9.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.97 (+1%)
2-Year Target $39.36 (+2%)
3-Year Target $39.75 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $38.53 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 1.8%) $85.97 (+123%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 1.8%) $40.65 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 1.8%) $34.55 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case $51.04 (+32%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $46.40 (+20%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case $25.77 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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