ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$72.39
0.63 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.59%
30d:
+8.27%
90d:
-13.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.55
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.92
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $72.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.55 to $71.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.28, while resistance sits at $75.46.
Market Sentiment: ACM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.21 (+37.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.28, while resistance sits at $75.46.
Market Sentiment: ACM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.21 (+37.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.55 -
$71.10
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($99.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.55 -
$71.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.28
Resistance Level
$75.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.78
Wall Street Target
$99.21
(+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.40
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$62.74
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$58.42
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$72.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$198.28
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$103.07
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$87.61
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.67
Bull Case
$113.55
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$103.23
(+43%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$48.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$90.02
(+24.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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