DY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.

Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction
$414.98
13.91 (3.47%) ▲
5d: -2.18%
30d: -5.2%
90d: -4.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $414.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $399.98 to $464.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.5) is in line with its historical norms (30.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $370.44, while resistance sits at $450.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: DY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $637.27 (+58.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $399.98 - $464.68
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 28th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 69.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.9% below Wall St target ($637.27)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $399.98 - $464.68
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$35.57 (8.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $370.44
Resistance Level $450.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.47
Wall Street Target $637.27 (+58.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.5%
Profit Margin 5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.5 vs 30.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $395.86 (-1%)
2-Year Target $390.71 (-3%)
3-Year Target $385.63 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→31) $401.79 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.5, Growth: 22.3%) $734.22 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 22.3%) $516.55 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 22.3%) $439.07 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.76
Bull Case $531.11 (+32%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case $482.83 (+20%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case $283.66 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.5 to 30.7
Stabilization Target: $417.88 (+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.2%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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