Sasol (SSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$18.03
0.57 (3.26%)
▲
5d:
+10.34%
30d:
+26.08%
90d:
+57.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSL is 12.8% above its trading range ($15.99). Market expects 3.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSL is 12.8% above its trading range ($15.99). Market expects 3.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.70
Based on -1.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $18.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.75 to $15.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SSL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.75 -
$15.99
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.75 -
$15.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.22
Resistance Level
$18.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.47
Wall Street Target
$19.75
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
447.5%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 5.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.64
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$19.28
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$19.93
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.87
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.6%)
$43.62
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: -7.6%)
$14.21
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -7.6%)
$12.08
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$38.41
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$34.92
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$11.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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