SSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SSL - Sasol Limited

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$10.15
-0.35 (-3.33%) ▼
5d: -5.49%
30d: -24.54%
90d: -21.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 31, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.87
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $10.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.38 to $13.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.38 - $13.60
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 0.2% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.38 - $13.60
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.22
Resistance Level $13.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.10
Wall Street Target $12.00 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.8%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 6.1 vs 5.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.42 (+3%)
2-Year Target $10.71 (+6%)
3-Year Target $10.99 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) PE COMPRESSION $10.10 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -34.1%) $26.43 (+160%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: -34.1%) $7.40 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 5.2, Growth: -34.1%) $6.29 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case $23.18 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.4
Base Case $21.07 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.8
Bear Case $7.16 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 25, 2026 5:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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