SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$61.27
2.02 (3.41%)
▲
5d:
+11.58%
30d:
-1.32%
90d:
-4.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.6% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.6% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.37
Based on -8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $61.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.58 to $61.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$54.58 -
$61.44
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($62.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.58 -
$61.44
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.51
Resistance Level
$66.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.95
Wall Street Target
$62.89
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.39
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$50.07
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$45.26
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$61.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -21.5%)
$122.35
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -21.5%)
$44.67
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -21.5%)
$37.97
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.70
Bull Case
$130.35
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$118.50
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$40.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$83.22
(+35.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
