Is SU stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SU is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of SU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SU to be between $61.94 and $66.77. The current price is $68.42.

What is the analyst price target for SU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SU is $70.85. This implies a potential upside of 4.7% from current levels.

SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.

Petroleum Refining

$68.42

0.48 (0.71%) ▲

5d: +3.95%

30d: +3.03%

90d: +1.02%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SU Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -21.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$50.14

Based on -8.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$31.13

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $68.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.94 to $66.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 241.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $69.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $61.94 - $66.77

Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.85)
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $61.94 - $66.77

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $60.90

Resistance Level $69.14

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.64

Wall Street Target $70.85 (+4.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 45.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 241.9%

Profit Margin 15.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 10.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $63.62 (-6%)

2-Year Target $59.80 (-12%)

3-Year Target $56.21 (-17%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $67.67 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -21.6%) $114.84 (+70%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -21.6%) $49.34 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: -21.6%) $41.94 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 12.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.44

Bull Case $105.59 (+54%)

Analyst growth 44.0%, PE expands to 13.5

Base Case $95.99 (+40%)

Market implied 44.0%, PE stable at 12.3

Bear Case $45.33 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 10.4

Stabilization Target: $81.47 (+20.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +20.4%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:16 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Suncor Energy, Inc.

Petroleum Refining

About

Suncor Energy Inc is an integrated energy company. The company's operations include oil sands development, production and upgrading, offshore oil production, petroleum refining in Canada and the U.S., and the company's Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks. The company is developing petroleum resources while advancing the transition to a low-emissions future through investment in power, and renewable fuels. It also conducts energy trading activities focused principally on the marketing and trading of crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products and power. The company's operating segments include Oil Sands, Exploration & Production, Refining & Marketing (R&M), and Corporate & eliminations. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Canada.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $50,058,556,036

Employees: 15,010

Listed Since: 1993-12-01

Website: Visit

CIK: 0000311337

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