PBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBR - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS ADS (REP 1 COMMON SHARE)
$19.15
0.14 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+7.1%
30d:
+0.79%
90d:
-4.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.17
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBR is currently trading at $19.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.88 to $18.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PBR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.01 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PBR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.01 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.88 -
$18.87
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.01)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.88 -
$18.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.60
Resistance Level
$19.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.77
Wall Street Target
$22.01
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.8%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 5.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.98
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$17.01
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.09
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$18.90
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$70.42
(+271%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$16.73
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$14.22
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.02
Bull Case
$20.22
(+6%)
Analyst growth -0.8%, PE expands to 5.1
Base Case
$18.39
(-4%)
Market implied -0.8%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$12.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 5.6
Stabilization Target:
$22.33
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Angelica Garcia Cobas La…
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-02
Angelica Garcia Cobas La…
SELL
19 shares
2026-04-01
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