PBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBR - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS ADS (REP 1 COMMON SHARE)
$17.88
0.56 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
+9.96%
30d:
-1.27%
90d:
-16.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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1 traders called PBR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.98
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBR is currently trading at $17.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.37 to $17.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: PBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.80 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: PBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.80 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.37 -
$17.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($22.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.37 -
$17.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.63
Resistance Level
$19.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.35
Wall Street Target
$22.80
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.24
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.74
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$13.39
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$17.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.1%)
$84.15
(+371%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -2.1%)
$16.80
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -2.1%)
$14.28
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.14
Bull Case
$24.96
(+40%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case
$22.69
(+27%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case
$11.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.86
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Angelica Garcia Cobas La…
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2026-04-02
Angelica Garcia Cobas La…
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19 shares
2026-04-01
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