IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$126.27
1.85 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+1.35%
30d:
-3.22%
90d:
+5.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.23
Based on -9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $126.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.68 to $134.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.80, while resistance sits at $139.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $109.72. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.80, while resistance sits at $139.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $109.72. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$124.68 -
$134.32
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.1% above Wall St target ($109.72)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.68 -
$134.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.80
Resistance Level
$139.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.08
Wall Street Target
$109.72
(-13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.59
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$115.16
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$109.98
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$126.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -23.2%)
$166.93
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: -23.2%)
$92.05
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: -23.2%)
$78.24
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.27
Bull Case
$274.10
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$249.18
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$84.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$145.27
(+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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