EC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EC - Ecopetrol S.A
$15.51
-0.74 (-4.55%)
▼
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
+11.9%
90d:
+8.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Get Alerted When EC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.73
Based on -9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EC is currently trading at $15.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.25 to $16.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.38, while resistance sits at $16.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.14. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.38, while resistance sits at $16.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.14. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.25 -
$16.20
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.3% above Wall St target ($13.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.25 -
$16.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.38
Resistance Level
$16.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.69
Wall Street Target
$13.14
(-15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.34
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.17
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$15.00
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$15.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -22.0%)
$25.40
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -22.0%)
$11.31
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -22.0%)
$9.61
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$20.43
(+32%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$18.57
(+20%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$11.05
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.00
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$170 | 54 HOLD |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$216 | 58 HOLD |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$34 | 54 HOLD |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$63 | 57 HOLD |
|
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro Petr… |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$23 | 52 HOLD |
