Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.8 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $125 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.85 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $120 by Aug 21: the bear put spread returns +$505 (102.0%) on $495 risked, vs $-1,403 (-10.5%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 9.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $120 by Aug 21
+$505
+102.0% on $495 risked
Max Profit
+$505
If the stock โค $125 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$495
Net debit
Break-even
$130.05
-2.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.9 / -1.25 / 0.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | +$259 | +$290 | +$353 | +$505 |
| $114 (-15%) | +$202 | +$223 | +$272 | +$505 |
| $120 (-10%) โ target | +$148 | +$158 | +$188 | +$505 |
| $127 (-5%) | +$83 | +$79 | +$78 | +$272 |
| $131 (-2%) | +$48 | +$36 | +$17 | -$130 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | +$24 | +$7 | -$22 | -$398 |
| $137 (+2%) | +$2 | -$20 | -$61 | -$495 |
| $141 (+5%) | -$32 | -$61 | -$116 | -$495 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$84 | -$124 | -$200 | -$495 |
| $154 (+15%) | -$134 | -$182 | -$270 | -$495 |
| $161 (+20%) | -$179 | -$233 | -$328 | -$495 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.