Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.4 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $145 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.6 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $150 by Aug 21: the bull call spread returns +$620 (163.2%) on $380 risked, vs +$1,598 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 13.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $150 by Aug 21
+$620
+163.2% on $380 risked
Max Profit
+$620
If the stock โฅ $145 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$380
Net debit
Break-even
$138.80
+3.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.39 / -0.08 / -0.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$203 | -$238 | -$300 | -$380 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$154 | -$184 | -$245 | -$380 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$101 | -$123 | -$175 | -$380 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$47 | -$58 | -$91 | -$380 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$13 | -$18 | -$37 | -$380 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | +$9 | +$9 | +$1 | -$380 |
| $137 (+2%) | +$31 | +$37 | +$38 | -$209 |
| $141 (+5%) | +$64 | +$77 | +$95 | +$193 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$117 | +$142 | +$186 | +$620 |
| $150 (+12%) โ target | +$137 | +$166 | +$219 | +$620 |
| $154 (+15%) | +$168 | +$204 | +$270 | +$620 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$216 | +$261 | +$344 | +$620 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.