Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $134.03 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $145 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.6 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $145 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$2,758 (23.5%) on $11,743 risked, vs +$1,098 (8.2%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $145 by Aug 21
+$2,758
+23.5% on $11,743 risked
Max Profit
+$2,758
If the stock โฅ $145 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,743
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$117.42
-12.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.98 / 16.5 / -22.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$1,481 | -$1,283 | -$1,097 | -$1,021 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$995 | -$753 | -$499 | -$350 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$551 | -$268 | +$54 | +$320 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$147 | +$170 | +$554 | +$990 |
| $131 (-2%) | +$77 | +$410 | +$825 | +$1,392 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | +$217 | +$560 | +$993 | +$1,660 |
| $137 (+2%) | +$352 | +$703 | +$1,151 | +$1,928 |
| $141 (+5%) | +$542 | +$904 | +$1,369 | +$2,330 |
| $145 (+8%) โ target | +$730 | +$1,099 | +$1,576 | +$2,757 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$831 | +$1,203 | +$1,682 | +$2,757 |
| $154 (+15%) | +$1,085 | +$1,459 | +$1,937 | +$2,757 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$1,307 | +$1,678 | +$2,138 | +$2,757 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.