Target Price Playground
INTC
$133.99
๐ข
INTC IV: 78.9% โ LOW
(-27.4% vs 30d avg of 108.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $125 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.7 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $125 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.78 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $125 by Aug 21: the diagonal put spread returns +$916 (102.7%) on $892 risked, vs $-899 (-6.7%) for 100 shares on $13,399. Options give 15.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $125. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $125 by Aug 21
+$916
+102.7% on $892 risked
Max Profit
+$914
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$605
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$145.64
+8.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.36 / 1.7 / 5.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | +$96 | +$152 | +$237 | +$288 |
| $114 (-15%) | +$73 | +$134 | +$240 | +$440 |
| $121 (-10%) | +$42 | +$103 | +$217 | +$649 |
| $125 (-7%) โ target | +$17 | +$76 | +$188 | +$819 |
| $127 (-5%) | +$4 | +$61 | +$168 | +$689 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$22 | +$30 | +$129 | +$478 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | -$40 | +$8 | +$98 | +$350 |
| $137 (+2%) | -$59 | -$15 | +$65 | +$231 |
| $141 (+5%) | -$88 | -$52 | +$12 | +$69 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$139 | -$117 | -$84 | -$159 |
| $154 (+15%) | -$192 | -$184 | -$183 | -$340 |
| $161 (+20%) | -$245 | -$251 | -$279 | -$481 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.