Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.4 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $150 by Aug 21: the long call returns $-540 (-26.5%) on $2,040 risked, vs +$1,598 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 2.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $150. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $150 by Aug 21
$-540
-26.5% on $2,040 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,040
Premium paid
Break-even
$155.40
+15.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.4 / -16.58 / 21.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$1,403 | -$1,636 | -$1,884 | -$2,040 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$1,169 | -$1,440 | -$1,756 | -$2,040 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$891 | -$1,195 | -$1,569 | -$2,040 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$570 | -$898 | -$1,315 | -$2,040 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$358 | -$695 | -$1,130 | -$2,040 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | -$209 | -$551 | -$993 | -$2,040 |
| $137 (+2%) | -$53 | -$399 | -$845 | -$1,869 |
| $141 (+5%) | +$191 | -$157 | -$605 | -$1,467 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$626 | +$279 | -$157 | -$797 |
| $150 (+12%) โ target | +$802 | +$457 | +$29 | -$540 |
| $154 (+15%) | +$1,093 | +$755 | +$343 | -$127 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$1,590 | +$1,264 | +$887 | +$544 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.