Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.8 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $120 by Aug 21: the long put returns $-480 (-24.2%) on $1,980 risked, vs $-1,403 (-10.5%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $120 by Aug 21
$-480
-24.2% on $1,980 risked
Max Profit
+$11,520
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,980
Premium paid
Break-even
$115.20
-14.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.88 / -15.2 / 21.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | +$1,329 | +$1,131 | +$917 | +$798 |
| $114 (-15%) | +$892 | +$655 | +$374 | +$127 |
| $120 (-10%) โ target | +$535 | +$269 | -$66 | -$480 |
| $127 (-5%) | +$151 | -$142 | -$524 | -$1,213 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$39 | -$342 | -$741 | -$1,615 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | -$158 | -$465 | -$872 | -$1,883 |
| $137 (+2%) | -$270 | -$581 | -$993 | -$1,980 |
| $141 (+5%) | -$428 | -$742 | -$1,154 | -$1,980 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$663 | -$975 | -$1,376 | -$1,980 |
| $154 (+15%) | -$866 | -$1,170 | -$1,546 | -$1,980 |
| $161 (+20%) | -$1,040 | -$1,331 | -$1,674 | -$1,980 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.