Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $150 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $134.03 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $150 by Aug 21: the long stock returns +$1,598 (11.9%) on $13,403 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Aug 21.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $150 by Aug 21
+$1,598
+11.9% on $13,403 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$13,403
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$134.03
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 18 | Aug 17 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$2,681 | -$2,681 | -$2,681 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$2,010 | -$2,010 | -$2,010 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$1,340 | -$1,340 | -$1,340 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$670 | -$670 | -$670 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$268 | -$268 | -$268 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $137 (+2%) | +$268 | +$268 | +$268 |
| $141 (+5%) | +$670 | +$670 | +$670 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$1,340 | +$1,340 | +$1,340 |
| $150 (+12%) โ target | +$1,597 | +$1,597 | +$1,597 |
| $154 (+15%) | +$2,010 | +$2,010 | +$2,010 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$2,681 | +$2,681 | +$2,681 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.