Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.03
๐ข
INTC IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $134.03 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.85 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $145 by Aug 21: the protective put returns $-388 (-2.6%) on $14,888 risked, vs +$1,098 (8.2%) for 100 shares on $13,403. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $145 by Aug 21
$-388
-2.6% on $14,888 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,388
Put floors you at $125
Break-even
$148.88
+11.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.02 / -13.95 / 20.97
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$1,612 | -$1,840 | -$2,117 | -$2,388 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$1,320 | -$1,578 | -$1,908 | -$2,388 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$982 | -$1,261 | -$1,627 | -$2,388 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$602 | -$891 | -$1,272 | -$2,155 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$355 | -$646 | -$1,027 | -$1,753 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | -$182 | -$473 | -$850 | -$1,485 |
| $137 (+2%) | -$4 | -$293 | -$664 | -$1,217 |
| $141 (+5%) | +$274 | -$11 | -$368 | -$815 |
| $145 (+8%) โ target | +$581 | +$304 | -$34 | -$388 |
| $147 (+10%) | +$762 | +$489 | +$164 | -$145 |
| $154 (+15%) | +$1,278 | +$1,022 | +$734 | +$525 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$1,819 | +$1,583 | +$1,335 | +$1,196 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.