Target Price Playground
INTC
$133.99
๐ข
INTC IV: 78.1% โ LOW
(-27.6% vs 30d avg of 107.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $155 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.4 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $135 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.8 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $155 by Aug 21: the long straddle returns $-2,020 (-50.2%) on $4,020 risked, vs +$2,101 (15.7%) for 100 shares on $13,399. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $155. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $155 by Aug 21
$-2,020
-50.2% on $4,020 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$4,020
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$94.80
-29.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.52 / -31.78 / 43.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $107 (-20%) | -$79 | -$507 | -$967 | -$1,239 |
| $114 (-15%) | -$281 | -$788 | -$1,382 | -$1,909 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$396 | -$967 | -$1,679 | -$2,579 |
| $127 (-5%) | -$426 | -$1,045 | -$1,842 | -$3,249 |
| $131 (-2%) | -$404 | -$1,043 | -$1,875 | -$3,651 |
| $134 (0%) โ spot | -$373 | -$1,022 | -$1,869 | -$3,919 |
| $137 (+2%) | -$331 | -$986 | -$1,842 | -$3,853 |
| $141 (+5%) | -$244 | -$906 | -$1,764 | -$3,451 |
| $147 (+10%) | -$44 | -$703 | -$1,538 | -$2,781 |
| $155 (+16%) โ target | +$260 | -$379 | -$1,157 | -$2,020 |
| $161 (+20%) | +$541 | -$74 | -$794 | -$1,441 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.