Target Price Playground
KLAC
$261.19
๐ก
KLAC IV: 68.1% โ NORMAL
(-7.7% vs 30d avg of 73.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $295 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $260 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $32.8 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If KLAC hits $295 by Aug 21: the long call returns +$220 (6.7%) on $3,280 risked, vs +$3,381 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $26,119. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if KLAC is at $295. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if KLAC hits $295 by Aug 21
+$220
+6.7% on $3,280 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,280
Premium paid
Break-even
$292.80
+12.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.84 / -26.23 / 42.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| KLAC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $209 (-20%) | -$2,207 | -$2,609 | -$3,031 | -$3,280 |
| $222 (-15%) | -$1,766 | -$2,244 | -$2,797 | -$3,280 |
| $235 (-10%) | -$1,233 | -$1,772 | -$2,437 | -$3,280 |
| $248 (-5%) | -$608 | -$1,191 | -$1,935 | -$3,280 |
| $256 (-2%) | -$191 | -$791 | -$1,563 | -$3,280 |
| $261 (0%) โ spot | +$104 | -$503 | -$1,286 | -$3,161 |
| $266 (+2%) | +$412 | -$200 | -$986 | -$2,639 |
| $274 (+5%) | +$899 | +$285 | -$496 | -$1,855 |
| $287 (+10%) | +$1,768 | +$1,164 | +$418 | -$549 |
| $295 (+13%) โ target | +$2,311 | +$1,719 | +$1,006 | +$220 |
| $300 (+15%) | +$2,703 | +$2,123 | +$1,437 | +$757 |
| $313 (+20%) | +$3,698 | +$3,150 | +$2,538 | +$2,063 |
Uses KLAC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.