Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
META
$669.21
๐ŸŸข
META IV: 42.7% โ€” LOW (-24.7% vs 30d avg of 56.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $640 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

68d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $670 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $64.5 ยท ฮ” -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $640 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $41.36 ยท ฮ” -0.37
P&L at Expiry Now $669 Target $640 $468 $669 $870
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If META hits $640 by Sep 18: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,609 (112.8%) on $2,314 risked, vs $-2,921 (-4.4%) for 100 shares on $66,921. Options give 25.6ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $640. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if META hits $640 by Sep 18
+$2,609
+112.8% on $2,314 risked
Max Profit
+$2,574
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,242
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$694.69
+3.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-7.81 / 5.11 / 23.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

META Price Today Aug 3 Aug 26 Sep 18 (exp)
$535 (-20%) +$552 +$644 +$704 +$548
$569 (-15%) +$494 +$642 +$834 +$768
$602 (-10%) +$364 +$545 +$856 +$1,280
$640 (-4%) โ† target +$134 +$304 +$634 +$2,395
$656 (-2%) +$15 +$166 +$458 +$1,484
$669 (0%) โ† spot -$94 +$35 +$278 +$813
$683 (+2%) -$209 -$106 +$77 +$229
$703 (+5%) -$388 -$329 -$248 -$489
$736 (+10%) -$693 -$710 -$793 -$1,324
$770 (+15%) -$987 -$1,070 -$1,270 -$1,814
$803 (+20%) -$1,256 -$1,384 -$1,637 -$2,077
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.