Target Price Playground
META
$669.21
๐ข
META IV: 43.0% โ LOW
(-24.1% vs 30d avg of 56.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $669.21 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Sep 18: the long stock returns +$8,079 (12.1%) on $66,921 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Sep 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Sep 18
+$8,079
+12.1% on $66,921 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$66,921
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$669.21
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Aug 11 | Sep 10 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $535 (-20%) | -$13,384 | -$13,384 | -$13,384 |
| $569 (-15%) | -$10,038 | -$10,038 | -$10,038 |
| $602 (-10%) | -$6,692 | -$6,692 | -$6,692 |
| $636 (-5%) | -$3,346 | -$3,346 | -$3,346 |
| $656 (-2%) | -$1,338 | -$1,338 | -$1,338 |
| $669 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $683 (+2%) | +$1,338 | +$1,338 | +$1,338 |
| $703 (+5%) | +$3,346 | +$3,346 | +$3,346 |
| $736 (+10%) | +$6,692 | +$6,692 | +$6,692 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$8,079 | +$8,079 | +$8,079 |
| $770 (+15%) | +$10,038 | +$10,038 | +$10,038 |
| $803 (+20%) | +$13,384 | +$13,384 | +$13,384 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.