Target Price Playground
META
$669.21
๐ข
META IV: 42.7% โ LOW
(-24.7% vs 30d avg of 56.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $770 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $670 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $59.3 ยท ฮ 0.55
LONG PUT ยท $670 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $54.5 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $770 by Sep 18: the long straddle returns $-1,380 (-12.1%) on $11,380 risked, vs +$10,079 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $66,921. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $770. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $770 by Sep 18
$-1,380
-12.1% on $11,380 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$11,380
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$556.20
-16.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.12 / -82.97 / 230.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $535 (-20%) | +$2,897 | +$2,348 | +$1,994 | +$2,083 |
| $569 (-15%) | +$797 | -$142 | -$1,039 | -$1,263 |
| $602 (-10%) | -$668 | -$1,987 | -$3,541 | -$4,609 |
| $636 (-5%) | -$1,416 | -$3,024 | -$5,141 | -$7,955 |
| $656 (-2%) | -$1,509 | -$3,224 | -$5,549 | -$9,963 |
| $669 (0%) โ spot | -$1,426 | -$3,181 | -$5,573 | -$11,301 |
| $683 (+2%) | -$1,229 | -$2,999 | -$5,402 | -$10,121 |
| $703 (+5%) | -$733 | -$2,482 | -$4,802 | -$8,113 |
| $736 (+10%) | +$588 | -$1,032 | -$3,018 | -$4,767 |
| $770 (+15%) โ target | +$2,460 | +$1,052 | -$485 | -$1,380 |
| $803 (+20%) | +$4,704 | +$3,532 | +$2,414 | +$1,925 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.