Target Price Playground
META
$669.21
๐ข
META IV: 43.0% โ LOW
(-24.1% vs 30d avg of 56.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $670 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $59.3 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $720 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $39.62 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Sep 18: the bull call spread returns +$3,032 (154.1%) on $1,968 risked, vs +$8,079 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $66,921. Options give 12.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Sep 18
+$3,032
+154.1% on $1,968 risked
Max Profit
+$3,032
If the stock โฅ $720 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,968
Net debit
Break-even
$689.68
+3.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.22 / -1.12 / -5.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $535 (-20%) | -$1,591 | -$1,755 | -$1,925 | -$1,968 |
| $569 (-15%) | -$1,307 | -$1,510 | -$1,802 | -$1,968 |
| $602 (-10%) | -$928 | -$1,130 | -$1,500 | -$1,968 |
| $636 (-5%) | -$474 | -$624 | -$954 | -$1,968 |
| $656 (-2%) | -$177 | -$276 | -$515 | -$1,968 |
| $669 (0%) โ spot | +$25 | -$34 | -$189 | -$1,968 |
| $683 (+2%) | +$229 | +$213 | +$152 | -$709 |
| $703 (+5%) | +$533 | +$582 | +$670 | +$1,299 |
| $736 (+10%) | +$1,015 | +$1,164 | +$1,467 | +$3,032 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$1,202 | +$1,384 | +$1,750 | +$3,032 |
| $770 (+15%) | +$1,450 | +$1,669 | +$2,092 | +$3,032 |
| $803 (+20%) | +$1,821 | +$2,077 | +$2,516 | +$3,032 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.