Target Price Playground
META
$669.21
๐ข
META IV: 42.7% โ LOW
(-24.7% vs 30d avg of 56.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $750 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $670 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $59.3 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If META hits $750 by Sep 18: the long call returns +$2,070 (34.9%) on $5,930 risked, vs +$8,079 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $66,921. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if META is at $750. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if META hits $750 by Sep 18
+$2,070
+34.9% on $5,930 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$5,930
Premium paid
Break-even
$729.30
+8.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.25 / -44.6 / 115.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| META Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $535 (-20%) | -$5,243 | -$5,608 | -$5,880 | -$5,930 |
| $569 (-15%) | -$4,620 | -$5,180 | -$5,723 | -$5,930 |
| $602 (-10%) | -$3,680 | -$4,429 | -$5,301 | -$5,930 |
| $636 (-5%) | -$2,381 | -$3,275 | -$4,428 | -$5,930 |
| $656 (-2%) | -$1,424 | -$2,371 | -$3,628 | -$5,930 |
| $669 (0%) โ spot | -$713 | -$1,680 | -$2,971 | -$5,930 |
| $683 (+2%) | +$54 | -$921 | -$2,217 | -$4,671 |
| $703 (+5%) | +$1,307 | +$342 | -$912 | -$2,663 |
| $736 (+10%) | +$3,640 | +$2,740 | +$1,652 | +$683 |
| $750 (+12%) โ target | +$4,687 | +$3,827 | +$2,829 | +$2,070 |
| $770 (+15%) | +$6,237 | +$5,441 | +$4,575 | +$4,029 |
| $803 (+20%) | +$9,044 | +$8,368 | +$7,714 | +$7,375 |
Uses META's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.