Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.75
๐ก
SNDK IV: 106.0% โ NORMAL
(-12.6% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $1920 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $2180 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $403.12 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $2010 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $314.6 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1920 by Aug 21: the bear put spread returns +$8,148 (92.0%) on $8,852 risked, vs $-26,475 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $218,475. Options give 7.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1920. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1920 by Aug 21
+$8,148
+92.0% on $8,852 risked
Max Profit
+$8,148
If the stock โค $2010 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$8,852
Net debit
Break-even
$2091.48
-4.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.54 / -22.84 / 14.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | +$3,448 | +$3,767 | +$4,561 | +$8,148 |
| $1857 (-15%) | +$2,658 | +$2,821 | +$3,333 | +$8,148 |
| $1920 (-12%) โ target | +$2,200 | +$2,265 | +$2,579 | +$8,148 |
| $1966 (-10%) | +$1,864 | +$1,855 | +$2,012 | +$8,148 |
| $2076 (-5%) | +$1,081 | +$892 | +$664 | +$1,597 |
| $2141 (-2%) | +$620 | +$324 | -$135 | -$4,957 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | +$317 | -$47 | -$657 | -$8,852 |
| $2228 (+2%) | +$19 | -$413 | -$1,167 | -$8,852 |
| $2294 (+5%) | -$419 | -$948 | -$1,904 | -$8,852 |
| $2403 (+10%) | -$1,120 | -$1,797 | -$3,046 | -$8,852 |
| $2512 (+15%) | -$1,783 | -$2,588 | -$4,063 | -$8,852 |
| $2622 (+20%) | -$2,406 | -$3,316 | -$4,949 | -$8,852 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.