Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ŸŸก
SNDK IV: 106.0% โ€” NORMAL (-12.6% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ€” no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection If price hits $2290 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

64d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $2010 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $314.6 ยท ฮ” -0.34
P&L at Expiry Now $2185 Target $2290 $1529 $2185 $2840
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If SNDK hits $2290 by Aug 21: the cash-secured put returns +$31,460 (18.6%) on $-31,460 credit (max loss $169,540), vs +$10,523 (4.8%) for 100 shares on $218,477. Options give 3.9ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if SNDK hits $2290 by Aug 21
+$31,460
+18.6% on $169,540 max loss
Max Profit
+$31,460
If the stock โ‰ฅ $2010 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$169,540
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$1695.40
-22.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
91%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
34.13 / 287.23 / -334.97
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

SNDK Price Today Jul 9 Jul 30 Aug 21 (exp)
$1748 (-20%) -$15,199 -$10,018 -$3,449 +$5,242
$1857 (-15%) -$9,714 -$4,111 +$3,205 +$16,165
$1966 (-10%) -$4,804 +$1,095 +$8,893 +$27,089
$2076 (-5%) -$428 +$5,644 +$13,658 +$31,460
$2141 (-2%) +$1,959 +$8,079 +$16,103 +$31,460
$2185 (0%) โ† spot +$3,456 +$9,588 +$17,574 +$31,460
$2228 (+2%) +$4,883 +$11,010 +$18,925 +$31,460
$2290 (+5%) โ† target +$6,775 +$12,872 +$20,636 +$31,460
$2403 (+10%) +$9,928 +$15,899 +$23,260 +$31,460
$2512 (+15%) +$12,598 +$18,382 +$25,240 +$31,460
$2622 (+20%) +$14,945 +$20,489 +$26,776 +$31,460
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.