Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ก
SNDK IV: 105.6% โ NORMAL
(-12.9% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2360 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $2184.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $2360 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $308.3 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2360 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$48,353 (25.8%) on $187,647 risked, vs +$17,523 (8.0%) for 100 shares on $218,477. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2360. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2360 by Aug 21
+$48,353
+25.8% on $187,647 risked
Max Profit
+$48,353
If the stock โฅ $2360 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$187,647
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$1876.47
-14.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
86%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
47.1 / 329.31 / -364.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$26,487 | -$21,515 | -$16,190 | -$12,865 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$19,466 | -$13,802 | -$7,303 | -$1,942 |
| $1966 (-10%) | -$12,995 | -$6,719 | +$861 | +$8,982 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$7,060 | -$268 | +$8,235 | +$19,906 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$3,747 | +$3,302 | +$12,264 | +$26,460 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$1,639 | +$5,561 | +$14,784 | +$30,830 |
| $2228 (+2%) | +$391 | +$7,725 | +$17,172 | +$35,200 |
| $2294 (+5%) | +$3,293 | +$10,794 | +$20,510 | +$41,754 |
| $2360 (+8%) โ target | +$6,048 | +$13,679 | +$23,582 | +$48,353 |
| $2403 (+10%) | +$7,766 | +$15,462 | +$25,443 | +$48,353 |
| $2512 (+15%) | +$11,810 | +$19,603 | +$29,634 | +$48,353 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$15,459 | +$23,259 | +$33,149 | +$48,353 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.