Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ŸŸก
SNDK IV: 105.6% โ€” NORMAL (-12.9% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ€” no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection If price hits $2080 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

64d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $2180 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $646.8 ยท ฮ” -0.39
SHORT PUT ยท $2080 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $395.49 ยท ฮ” -0.37
P&L at Expiry Now $2185 Target $2080 $1529 $2185 $2840
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If SNDK hits $2080 by Aug 21: the diagonal put spread returns +$6,081 (24.2%) on $25,131 risked, vs $-10,477 (-4.8%) for 100 shares on $218,477. Options give 5.0ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2080. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if SNDK hits $2080 by Aug 21
+$6,081
+24.2% on $25,131 risked
Max Profit
+$5,764
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$16,826
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$2214.19
+1.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
91%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-2.08 / 46.72 / 72.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

SNDK Price Today Jul 9 Jul 30 Aug 21 (exp)
$1748 (-20%) -$12,274 -$11,234 -$9,574 -$8,270
$1857 (-15%) -$12,217 -$11,050 -$9,013 -$4,851
$1966 (-10%) -$12,255 -$11,018 -$8,751 -$625
$2080 (-5%) โ† target -$12,389 -$11,141 -$8,805 +$4,629
$2141 (-2%) -$12,496 -$11,267 -$8,965 +$1,694
$2185 (0%) โ† spot -$12,588 -$11,381 -$9,132 -$262
$2228 (+2%) -$12,690 -$11,514 -$9,338 -$2,101
$2294 (+5%) -$12,863 -$11,745 -$9,716 -$4,647
$2403 (+10%) -$13,196 -$12,204 -$10,499 -$8,366
$2512 (+15%) -$13,577 -$12,739 -$11,425 -$11,488
$2622 (+20%) -$13,995 -$13,330 -$12,443 -$14,085
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.