Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.75
๐ก
SNDK IV: 106.0% โ NORMAL
(-12.6% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2450 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $2180 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $421.57 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2450 by Aug 21: the long call returns $-15,157 (-36.0%) on $42,157 risked, vs +$26,525 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $218,475. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2450. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2450 by Aug 21
$-15,157
-36.0% on $42,157 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$42,157
Premium paid
Break-even
$2601.57
+19.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.53 / -333.09 / 349.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$24,704 | -$30,127 | -$36,463 | -$42,157 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$20,055 | -$26,056 | -$33,422 | -$42,157 |
| $1966 (-10%) | -$14,835 | -$21,304 | -$29,507 | -$42,157 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$9,071 | -$15,892 | -$24,697 | -$42,157 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$5,365 | -$12,341 | -$21,388 | -$42,157 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$2,795 | -$9,853 | -$19,010 | -$41,682 |
| $2228 (+2%) | -$150 | -$7,270 | -$16,501 | -$37,312 |
| $2294 (+5%) | +$3,955 | -$3,228 | -$12,499 | -$30,758 |
| $2403 (+10%) | +$11,144 | +$3,935 | -$5,237 | -$19,834 |
| $2450 (+12%) โ target | +$14,347 | +$7,153 | -$1,919 | -$15,157 |
| $2512 (+15%) | +$18,733 | +$11,584 | +$2,689 | -$8,911 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$26,687 | +$19,672 | +$11,191 | +$2,013 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.