Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.75
๐ก
SNDK IV: 106.0% โ NORMAL
(-12.6% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $1920 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $2180 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $403.12 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1920 by Aug 21: the long put returns $-14,312 (-35.5%) on $40,312 risked, vs $-26,475 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $218,475. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1920. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1920 by Aug 21
$-14,312
-35.5% on $40,312 risked
Max Profit
+$177,688
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$40,312
Premium paid
Break-even
$1776.88
-18.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.67 / -310.08 / 349.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | +$18,648 | +$13,785 | +$8,011 | +$2,908 |
| $1857 (-15%) | +$12,372 | +$6,932 | +$128 | -$8,016 |
| $1920 (-12%) โ target | +$9,017 | +$3,293 | -$4,020 | -$14,312 |
| $1966 (-10%) | +$6,669 | +$760 | -$6,881 | -$18,940 |
| $2076 (-5%) | +$1,510 | -$4,751 | -$12,993 | -$29,863 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$1,338 | -$7,754 | -$16,238 | -$36,417 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$3,139 | -$9,635 | -$18,231 | -$40,312 |
| $2228 (+2%) | -$4,863 | -$11,423 | -$20,091 | -$40,312 |
| $2294 (+5%) | -$7,312 | -$13,934 | -$22,644 | -$40,312 |
| $2403 (+10%) | -$11,047 | -$17,696 | -$26,306 | -$40,312 |
| $2512 (+15%) | -$14,381 | -$20,969 | -$29,302 | -$40,312 |
| $2622 (+20%) | -$17,351 | -$23,805 | -$31,724 | -$40,312 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.