Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ก
SNDK IV: 106.0% โ NORMAL
(-12.6% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2450 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $2184.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2450 by Aug 21: the long stock returns +$26,523 (12.1%) on $218,477 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Aug 21.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2450 by Aug 21
+$26,523
+12.1% on $218,477 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$218,477
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$2184.77
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 18 | Aug 17 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$43,695 | -$43,695 | -$43,695 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$32,772 | -$32,772 | -$32,772 |
| $1966 (-10%) | -$21,848 | -$21,848 | -$21,848 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$10,924 | -$10,924 | -$10,924 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$4,370 | -$4,370 | -$4,370 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $2228 (+2%) | +$4,370 | +$4,370 | +$4,370 |
| $2294 (+5%) | +$10,924 | +$10,924 | +$10,924 |
| $2403 (+10%) | +$21,848 | +$21,848 | +$21,848 |
| $2450 (+12%) โ target | +$26,523 | +$26,523 | +$26,523 |
| $2512 (+15%) | +$32,772 | +$32,772 | +$32,772 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$43,695 | +$43,695 | +$43,695 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.