Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ก
SNDK IV: 105.6% โ NORMAL
(-12.9% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2400 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $2184.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $2080 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $395.49 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2400 by Aug 21: the protective put returns $-18,026 (-7.0%) on $258,026 risked, vs +$21,523 (9.9%) for 100 shares on $218,477. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2400 by Aug 21
$-18,026
-7.0% on $258,026 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$50,026
Put floors you at $2080
Break-even
$2580.26
+18.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.14 / -296.74 / 341.13
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$31,645 | -$36,717 | -$42,997 | -$50,026 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$26,541 | -$32,105 | -$39,266 | -$50,026 |
| $1966 (-10%) | -$20,861 | -$26,796 | -$34,597 | -$50,026 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$14,640 | -$20,823 | -$29,005 | -$50,026 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$10,665 | -$16,941 | -$25,228 | -$43,919 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$7,918 | -$14,234 | -$22,544 | -$39,549 |
| $2228 (+2%) | -$5,098 | -$11,437 | -$19,733 | -$35,179 |
| $2294 (+5%) | -$735 | -$7,079 | -$15,292 | -$28,625 |
| $2400 (+10%) โ target | +$6,635 | +$352 | -$7,590 | -$18,026 |
| $2512 (+15%) | +$14,849 | +$8,708 | +$1,200 | -$6,777 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$23,173 | +$17,232 | +$10,245 | +$4,146 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.