Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,184.77
๐ก
SNDK IV: 105.6% โ NORMAL
(-12.9% vs 30d avg of 121.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2510 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $2180 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $421.57 ยท ฮ 0.6
LONG PUT ยท $2180 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $403.12 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2510 by Aug 21: the long straddle returns $-49,469 (-60.0%) on $82,469 risked, vs +$32,523 (14.9%) for 100 shares on $218,477. Options give 4.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2510. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2510 by Aug 21
$-49,469
-60.0% on $82,469 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$82,469
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$3004.69
+37.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.86 / -643.17 / 698.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$6,057 | -$16,342 | -$28,453 | -$39,251 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$7,683 | -$19,124 | -$33,295 | -$50,174 |
| $1966 (-10%) | -$8,166 | -$20,544 | -$36,388 | -$61,098 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$7,561 | -$20,643 | -$37,690 | -$72,022 |
| $2141 (-2%) | -$6,703 | -$20,095 | -$37,626 | -$78,576 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$5,934 | -$19,487 | -$37,241 | -$81,992 |
| $2228 (+2%) | -$5,013 | -$18,692 | -$36,592 | -$77,622 |
| $2294 (+5%) | -$3,356 | -$17,162 | -$35,143 | -$71,068 |
| $2403 (+10%) | +$98 | -$13,760 | -$31,542 | -$60,144 |
| $2510 (+15%) โ target | +$4,248 | -$9,494 | -$26,737 | -$49,469 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$9,338 | -$4,132 | -$20,532 | -$38,297 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.