Options Income Experimental

As of Jul 17, 2026

Selling options blindly loses to the tails — but when a sector's rotation stage lines up, premium selling has paid. We backtested ~17,000 simulated weekly option sales (Mar–Jun 2026, index-constituent stocks only) against the same sector rotation stages shown on the Market Pulse rotation clock. Two setups survived a 20% fill haircut:

Sell calls in Distribution
0.15–0.25 delta · 2–3 weeks out
93% of trades kept the premium (n=100 at 0.15Δ); sellers kept 62% of premium after a 10% fill haircut. Short-dated calls (≤12 days) lost money even in Distribution — one-week bounces run them over.
Sell puts as a sector turns up
0.15–0.25 delta · 1–2 weeks out
Turning-Up sectors: 90% win rate (n=205), 39% of premium kept after haircut. Bottoming sectors: 92% win (small sample). Never sell puts in Distribution — worst bucket in the study.
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