BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$10.55
-0.24 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
-3.65%
30d:
+23.1%
90d:
+29.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $10.95 · last confirmed Aug 10, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.33
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $10.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.91 to $10.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.64, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.64, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: BLMN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.91 -
$10.35
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.32)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.91 -
$10.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.64
Resistance Level
$12.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$11.32
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 7.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.61
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$12.77
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$14.04
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$25.78
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$12.95
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 7.1%)
$9.69
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case
$23.74
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$21.58
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$7.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.