Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$9.21
0.44 (5.02%)
▲
5d:
+10.5%
30d:
+3.37%
90d:
+9.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BLMN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.86
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $9.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.98 to $8.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.86 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.86 (+28.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.98 -
$8.97
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($11.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.98 -
$8.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.66
Resistance Level
$9.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.45
Wall Street Target
$11.86
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.44
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$9.68
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$9.92
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.27
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$31.11
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$13.24
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$11.25
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$19.29
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$17.54
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$5.96
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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