BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$67.49
5.02 (8.04%)
▲
5d:
+8.4%
30d:
+30.34%
90d:
+80.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When BJRI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BJRI is 8.7% above its trading range ($62.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BJRI is 8.7% above its trading range ($62.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.26
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $67.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.26 to $62.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.26 -
$62.08
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 33.3% above Wall St target ($45.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.1% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.26 -
$62.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.07
Resistance Level
$68.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.87
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(-33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 16.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.68
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$89.41
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$102.91
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$111.43
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$90.51
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$72.81
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$87.47
(+30%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$79.51
(+18%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$42.48
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$231 | 55 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 63 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 59 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$391 | 61 BUY |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 56 HOLD |
