BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$43.04
0.14 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-8.52%
30d:
+7.47%
90d:
+22.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BJRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BJRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.53
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.17
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $43.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.52 to $45.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.52 -
$45.22
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.44)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.52 -
$45.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.34
Resistance Level
$47.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$44.44
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$43.99
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$44.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$93.31
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 17.7%)
$70.26
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 17.7%)
$59.72
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$61.87
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$56.24
(+31%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$29.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 07, 2026 11:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
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