BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$67.53
-1.12 (-1.63%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.22%
30d:
+8.24%
90d:
+60.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.07
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $67.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.05 to $69.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BJRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.38 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BJRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.38 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$62.05 -
$69.88
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.5% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.05 -
$69.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.37
Resistance Level
$74.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.69
Wall Street Target
$75.38
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 17.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.30
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$83.95
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$93.61
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$103.79
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$85.02
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$72.27
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$110.43
(+64%)
Analyst growth 46.2%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$100.39
(+49%)
Market implied 46.2%, PE stable at 36.7
Bear Case
$46.68
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
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