EAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EAT - Brinker International, Inc.
$164.79
0.33 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
+5.47%
30d:
+20.66%
90d:
+12.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.68
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $164.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.71 to $156.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.90 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.90 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$134.71 -
$156.59
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($184.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$134.71 -
$156.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.16
Resistance Level
$152.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.18
Wall Street Target
$184.90
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.90
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$173.46
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$178.14
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$164.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$423.52
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 15.9%)
$256.33
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 15.9%)
$217.88
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.26
Bull Case
$220.56
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$200.51
(+22%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$112.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James C Katzman
SELL
447 shares
2026-02-11
Michaela M Ware
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-05
Aaron M White
SELL
7000 shares
2026-02-04
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