CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$46.46
0.34 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+6.83%
30d:
+46.15%
90d:
+72.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: CBRL is 12.3% above its trading range ($41.37). Market expects 11.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: CBRL is 12.3% above its trading range ($41.37). Market expects 11.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $46.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.56 to $41.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 69.5) compared to its historical average (50.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.97, while resistance sits at $48.91.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.97, while resistance sits at $48.91.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.56 -
$41.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Protect Your Profits
CBRL is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.0% above Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.1% growth expectation is conservative given 239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.56 -
$41.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.97
Resistance Level
$48.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.53
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(-15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.1% premium
PE vs Historical
69.5 vs 50.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.62
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$57.35
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$63.71
(+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→51)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 41.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$30.26
(-34%)
Analyst growth -41.9%, PE expands to 45.3
Base Case
$27.51
(-40%)
Market implied -41.9%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$32.19
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
BUY
2026-03-23
Tim Moore
SELL
2026-01-05
Tim Moore
BUY
2025-12-31
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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
