ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ARMK - ARAMARK

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$59.77
0.40 (0.67%) ▲
5d: -4.2%
30d: +4.86%
90d: +15.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ARMK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.54
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $59.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.15 to $59.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $55.22, while resistance sits at $62.65.

Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.97 (+13.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $56.15 - $59.87
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.97)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.3% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.15 - $59.87
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $55.22
Resistance Level $62.65
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.33
Wall Street Target $67.97 (+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.3% premium
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 17.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.54 (+6%)
2-Year Target $67.54 (+13%)
3-Year Target $71.79 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→18) PE COMPRESSION $59.92 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.3, Growth: 23.2%) $111.70 (+87%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.2%) $105.12 (+76%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 23.2%) $89.35 (+50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case $128.90 (+116%)
Analyst growth 97.4%, PE expands to 46.0
Base Case $117.18 (+96%)
Market implied 97.4%, PE stable at 41.8
Bear Case $40.37 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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