BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.66
-0.20 (-2.26%)
▼
5d:
+9.07%
30d:
-2.81%
90d:
+41.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BLMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.80
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.14 to $8.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.91, while resistance sits at $8.96.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.91, while resistance sits at $8.96.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.14 -
$8.82
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.70)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.14 -
$8.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.91
Resistance Level
$8.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.10
Wall Street Target
$8.70
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 7.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.26
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$9.90
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$10.58
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.60
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$26.02
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$11.42
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$9.29
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$19.49
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$17.72
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$6.02
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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