Target Price Playground
AVGO
$409.15
๐ข
AVGO IV: 51.4% โ LOW
(-35.6% vs 30d avg of 79.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $460 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $410 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $32.6 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $460 by Aug 21: the long call returns +$1,740 (53.4%) on $3,260 risked, vs +$5,085 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $40,915. Options give 4.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $460. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $460 by Aug 21
+$1,740
+53.4% on $3,260 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,260
Premium paid
Break-even
$442.60
+8.18% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.73 / -27.54 / 67.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $327 (-20%) | -$2,608 | -$2,925 | -$3,185 | -$3,260 |
| $348 (-15%) | -$2,145 | -$2,587 | -$3,030 | -$3,260 |
| $368 (-10%) | -$1,500 | -$2,055 | -$2,694 | -$3,260 |
| $389 (-5%) | -$659 | -$1,298 | -$2,093 | -$3,260 |
| $401 (-2%) | -$60 | -$730 | -$1,582 | -$3,260 |
| $409 (0%) โ spot | +$378 | -$304 | -$1,176 | -$3,260 |
| $417 (+2%) | +$846 | +$158 | -$720 | -$2,527 |
| $430 (+5%) | +$1,602 | +$917 | +$57 | -$1,299 |
| $450 (+10%) | +$2,992 | +$2,339 | +$1,564 | +$746 |
| $460 (+12%) โ target | +$3,722 | +$3,094 | +$2,376 | +$1,740 |
| $471 (+15%) | +$4,529 | +$3,933 | +$3,281 | +$2,792 |
| $491 (+20%) | +$6,186 | +$5,660 | +$5,139 | +$4,838 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.