Target Price Playground
AVGO
$411.35
๐ข
AVGO IV: 51.4% โ LOW
(-35.6% vs 30d avg of 79.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $360 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $410 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $32.95 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AVGO hits $360 by Aug 21: the long put returns +$1,705 (51.7%) on $3,295 risked, vs $-5,135 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $41,135. Options give 4.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $360. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AVGO hits $360 by Aug 21
+$1,705
+51.7% on $3,295 risked
Max Profit
+$37,705
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$3,295
Premium paid
Break-even
$377.05
-8.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-46.53 / -24.3 / 67.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AVGO Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $329 (-20%) | +$5,160 | +$4,938 | +$4,769 | +$4,797 |
| $350 (-15%) | +$3,584 | +$3,237 | +$2,881 | +$2,740 |
| $360 (-12%) โ target | +$2,860 | +$2,454 | +$1,997 | +$1,705 |
| $370 (-10%) | +$2,194 | +$1,735 | +$1,184 | +$683 |
| $391 (-5%) | +$1,003 | +$463 | -$238 | -$1,373 |
| $403 (-2%) | +$383 | -$185 | -$938 | -$2,607 |
| $411 (0%) โ spot | +$9 | -$570 | -$1,339 | -$3,295 |
| $420 (+2%) | -$336 | -$919 | -$1,689 | -$3,295 |
| $432 (+5%) | -$798 | -$1,376 | -$2,123 | -$3,295 |
| $452 (+10%) | -$1,439 | -$1,980 | -$2,637 | -$3,295 |
| $473 (+15%) | -$1,935 | -$2,417 | -$2,947 | -$3,295 |
| $494 (+20%) | -$2,312 | -$2,723 | -$3,121 | -$3,295 |
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.