Target Price Playground
GOOG
$355.03
๐ข
GOOG IV: 36.4% โ LOW
(-31.4% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.45 ยท ฮ -0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $310 by Sep 18: the long put returns +$2,455 (120.0%) on $2,045 risked, vs $-4,503 (-12.7%) for 100 shares on $35,503. Options give 9.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $310 by Sep 18
+$2,455
+120.0% on $2,045 risked
Max Profit
+$33,455
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$2,045
Premium paid
Break-even
$334.55
-5.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.87 / -14.19 / 61.09
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $284 (-20%) | +$4,963 | +$4,936 | +$4,961 | +$5,053 |
| $302 (-15%) | +$3,441 | +$3,318 | +$3,229 | +$3,277 |
| $310 (-13%) โ target | +$2,792 | +$2,621 | +$2,459 | +$2,455 |
| $320 (-10%) | +$2,094 | +$1,868 | +$1,613 | +$1,502 |
| $337 (-5%) | +$960 | +$651 | +$238 | -$273 |
| $348 (-2%) | +$389 | +$50 | -$422 | -$1,338 |
| $355 (0%) โ spot | +$54 | -$295 | -$786 | -$2,045 |
| $362 (+2%) | -$247 | -$598 | -$1,089 | -$2,045 |
| $373 (+5%) | -$634 | -$977 | -$1,438 | -$2,045 |
| $391 (+10%) | -$1,130 | -$1,430 | -$1,789 | -$2,045 |
| $408 (+15%) | -$1,472 | -$1,711 | -$1,951 | -$2,045 |
| $426 (+20%) | -$1,698 | -$1,873 | -$2,014 | -$2,045 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.