Target Price Playground
GOOG
$341.43
๐ข
GOOG IV: 33.2% โ LOW
(-27.0% vs 30d avg of 45.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $340 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.36 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $370 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.8 ยท ฮ 0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $380 by Nov 20: the bull call spread returns +$1,844 (159.5%) on $1,156 risked, vs +$3,857 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $34,143. Options give 14.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $380 by Nov 20
+$1,844
+159.5% on $1,156 risked
Max Profit
+$1,844
If the stock โฅ $370 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,156
Net debit
Break-even
$351.56
+2.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
22.5 / -2.87 / 3.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $273 (-20%) | -$994 | -$1,075 | -$1,145 | -$1,156 |
| $290 (-15%) | -$836 | -$951 | -$1,096 | -$1,156 |
| $307 (-10%) | -$606 | -$733 | -$946 | -$1,156 |
| $324 (-5%) | -$313 | -$415 | -$627 | -$1,156 |
| $335 (-2%) | -$116 | -$187 | -$349 | -$1,156 |
| $341 (0%) โ spot | +$20 | -$25 | -$136 | -$1,013 |
| $348 (+2%) | +$158 | +$141 | +$92 | -$330 |
| $359 (+5%) | +$364 | +$390 | +$439 | +$694 |
| $376 (+10%) | +$690 | +$781 | +$967 | +$1,844 |
| $380 (+11%) โ target | +$769 | +$874 | +$1,085 | +$1,844 |
| $393 (+15%) | +$977 | +$1,111 | +$1,362 | +$1,844 |
| $410 (+20%) | +$1,214 | +$1,365 | +$1,608 | +$1,844 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.