Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
GOOG
$355.03
๐ŸŸข
GOOG IV: 36.4% โ€” LOW (-31.4% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $375 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

68d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.0 ยท ฮ” -0.25
P&L at Expiry Now $355 Target $375 $249 $355 $462
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If GOOG hits $375 by Sep 18: the cash-secured put returns +$900 (2.8%) on $-900 credit (max loss $31,600), vs +$1,997 (5.6%) for 100 shares on $35,503. Options give 0.5ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $375. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if GOOG hits $375 by Sep 18
+$900
+2.8% on $31,600 max loss
Max Profit
+$900
If the stock โ‰ฅ $325 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$31,600
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$316.00
-10.99% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
25.01 / 11.94 / -50.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

GOOG Price Today Aug 3 Aug 26 Sep 18 (exp)
$284 (-20%) -$3,512 -$3,354 -$3,204 -$3,198
$302 (-15%) -$2,273 -$2,019 -$1,697 -$1,422
$320 (-10%) -$1,279 -$967 -$531 +$353
$337 (-5%) -$529 -$210 +$226 +$900
$348 (-2%) -$186 +$115 +$503 +$900
$355 (0%) โ† spot +$3 +$285 +$630 +$900
$362 (+2%) +$164 +$424 +$721 +$900
$375 (+6%) โ† target +$394 +$608 +$820 +$900
$391 (+10%) +$587 +$746 +$873 +$900
$408 (+15%) +$725 +$829 +$893 +$900
$426 (+20%) +$805 +$869 +$898 +$900
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.