Target Price Playground
GOOG
$355.03
๐ข
GOOG IV: 36.4% โ LOW
(-31.4% vs 30d avg of 53.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $400 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.0 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOG hits $400 by Sep 18: the long call returns +$2,200 (95.7%) on $2,300 risked, vs +$4,497 (12.7%) for 100 shares on $35,503. Options give 7.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOG is at $400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOG hits $400 by Sep 18
+$2,200
+95.7% on $2,300 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,300
Premium paid
Break-even
$378.00
+6.47% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.68 / -17.75 / 61.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOG Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $284 (-20%) | -$2,093 | -$2,216 | -$2,291 | -$2,300 |
| $302 (-15%) | -$1,840 | -$2,058 | -$2,248 | -$2,300 |
| $320 (-10%) | -$1,412 | -$1,733 | -$2,088 | -$2,300 |
| $337 (-5%) | -$771 | -$1,175 | -$1,688 | -$2,300 |
| $348 (-2%) | -$277 | -$711 | -$1,284 | -$2,300 |
| $355 (0%) โ spot | +$98 | -$347 | -$937 | -$2,297 |
| $362 (+2%) | +$508 | +$60 | -$530 | -$1,587 |
| $373 (+5%) | +$1,185 | +$747 | +$186 | -$522 |
| $391 (+10%) | +$2,464 | +$2,068 | +$1,609 | +$1,253 |
| $400 (+13%) โ target | +$3,212 | +$2,848 | +$2,453 | +$2,200 |
| $408 (+15%) | +$3,897 | +$3,563 | +$3,223 | +$3,028 |
| $426 (+20%) | +$5,448 | +$5,177 | +$4,935 | +$4,804 |
Uses GOOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.