Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$357.18
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 36.5% โ LOW
(-33.4% vs 30d avg of 54.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $400 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.6 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $400 by Sep 18: the long call returns +$2,040 (82.9%) on $2,460 risked, vs +$4,282 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $35,718. Options give 6.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $400 by Sep 18
+$2,040
+82.9% on $2,460 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,460
Premium paid
Break-even
$379.60
+6.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.96 / -17.94 / 61.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $286 (-20%) | -$2,227 | -$2,362 | -$2,449 | -$2,460 |
| $304 (-15%) | -$1,952 | -$2,186 | -$2,395 | -$2,460 |
| $321 (-10%) | -$1,496 | -$1,832 | -$2,212 | -$2,460 |
| $339 (-5%) | -$822 | -$1,237 | -$1,770 | -$2,460 |
| $350 (-2%) | -$308 | -$750 | -$1,335 | -$2,460 |
| $357 (0%) โ spot | +$79 | -$371 | -$968 | -$2,242 |
| $364 (+2%) | +$502 | +$51 | -$541 | -$1,528 |
| $375 (+5%) | +$1,198 | +$760 | +$203 | -$456 |
| $393 (+10%) | +$2,505 | +$2,112 | +$1,663 | +$1,330 |
| $400 (+12%) โ target | +$3,068 | +$2,700 | +$2,299 | +$2,040 |
| $411 (+15%) | +$3,962 | +$3,632 | +$3,301 | +$3,116 |
| $429 (+20%) | +$5,531 | +$5,265 | +$5,030 | +$4,902 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.