Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$344.98
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 32.7% โ LOW
(-29.5% vs 30d avg of 46.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Nov 20
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.48 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $375 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.05 ยท ฮ 0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $385 by Nov 20: the bull call spread returns +$1,857 (162.5%) on $1,143 risked, vs +$4,002 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $34,498. Options give 14.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Nov 20, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $385 by Nov 20
+$1,857
+162.5% on $1,143 risked
Max Profit
+$1,857
If the stock โฅ $375 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,143
Net debit
Break-even
$356.43
+3.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
22.1 / -3.21 / 3.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Oct 7 | Oct 29 | Nov 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $276 (-20%) | -$993 | -$1,070 | -$1,134 | -$1,143 |
| $293 (-15%) | -$841 | -$954 | -$1,091 | -$1,143 |
| $310 (-10%) | -$617 | -$744 | -$953 | -$1,143 |
| $328 (-5%) | -$326 | -$433 | -$649 | -$1,143 |
| $338 (-2%) | -$130 | -$206 | -$378 | -$1,143 |
| $345 (0%) โ spot | +$7 | -$44 | -$167 | -$1,143 |
| $352 (+2%) | +$146 | +$122 | +$60 | -$455 |
| $362 (+5%) | +$353 | +$374 | +$410 | +$580 |
| $379 (+10%) | +$683 | +$770 | +$949 | +$1,857 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$782 | +$886 | +$1,096 | +$1,857 |
| $397 (+15%) | +$975 | +$1,107 | +$1,357 | +$1,857 |
| $414 (+20%) | +$1,216 | +$1,367 | +$1,612 | +$1,857 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.