Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$357.18
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 36.5% โ LOW
(-33.4% vs 30d avg of 54.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $315 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.9 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $315 by Sep 18: the long put returns +$2,010 (101.0%) on $1,990 risked, vs $-4,218 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $35,718. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $315. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $315 by Sep 18
+$2,010
+101.0% on $1,990 risked
Max Profit
+$33,510
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,990
Premium paid
Break-even
$335.10
-6.18% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.49 / -14.39 / 61.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $286 (-20%) | +$4,873 | +$4,833 | +$4,847 | +$4,936 |
| $304 (-15%) | +$3,361 | +$3,224 | +$3,114 | +$3,150 |
| $315 (-12%) โ target | +$2,489 | +$2,284 | +$2,068 | +$2,010 |
| $321 (-10%) | +$2,032 | +$1,791 | +$1,511 | +$1,364 |
| $339 (-5%) | +$919 | +$600 | +$167 | -$422 |
| $350 (-2%) | +$361 | +$15 | -$470 | -$1,494 |
| $357 (0%) โ spot | +$35 | -$319 | -$817 | -$1,990 |
| $364 (+2%) | -$256 | -$611 | -$1,104 | -$1,990 |
| $375 (+5%) | -$632 | -$975 | -$1,431 | -$1,990 |
| $393 (+10%) | -$1,112 | -$1,409 | -$1,758 | -$1,990 |
| $411 (+15%) | -$1,441 | -$1,675 | -$1,905 | -$1,990 |
| $429 (+20%) | -$1,657 | -$1,828 | -$1,963 | -$1,990 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.