Target Price Playground
GOOGL
$357.18
๐ข
GOOGL IV: 36.5% โ LOW
(-33.4% vs 30d avg of 54.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.6 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $355 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.9 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If GOOGL hits $410 by Sep 18: the long straddle returns +$1,050 (23.6%) on $4,450 risked, vs +$5,282 (14.8%) for 100 shares on $35,718. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if GOOGL is at $410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if GOOGL hits $410 by Sep 18
+$1,050
+23.6% on $4,450 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$4,450
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$399.50
+11.85% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.47 / -32.33 / 122.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| GOOGL Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $286 (-20%) | +$2,646 | +$2,471 | +$2,398 | +$2,476 |
| $304 (-15%) | +$1,409 | +$1,038 | +$718 | +$690 |
| $321 (-10%) | +$536 | -$41 | -$701 | -$1,096 |
| $339 (-5%) | +$97 | -$638 | -$1,603 | -$2,882 |
| $350 (-2%) | +$53 | -$735 | -$1,805 | -$3,954 |
| $357 (0%) โ spot | +$114 | -$690 | -$1,785 | -$4,232 |
| $364 (+2%) | +$246 | -$560 | -$1,645 | -$3,518 |
| $375 (+5%) | +$566 | -$215 | -$1,228 | -$2,446 |
| $393 (+10%) | +$1,393 | +$704 | -$95 | -$660 |
| $410 (+15%) โ target | +$2,468 | +$1,898 | +$1,328 | +$1,050 |
| $429 (+20%) | +$3,874 | +$3,437 | +$3,067 | +$2,912 |
Uses GOOGL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.