Target Price Playground
HON
$229.01
๐ข
HON IV: 30.7% โ LOW
(-53.8% vs 30d avg of 66.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $255 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $230 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.5 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HON hits $255 by Aug 21: the long call returns +$1,250 (100.0%) on $1,250 risked, vs +$2,599 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $22,901. Options give 8.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HON is at $255. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HON hits $255 by Aug 21
+$1,250
+100.0% on $1,250 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,250
Premium paid
Break-even
$242.50
+5.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
51.93 / -10.37 / 37.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HON Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $183 (-20%) | -$1,198 | -$1,234 | -$1,249 | -$1,250 |
| $195 (-15%) | -$1,099 | -$1,184 | -$1,240 | -$1,250 |
| $206 (-10%) | -$894 | -$1,045 | -$1,188 | -$1,250 |
| $218 (-5%) | -$541 | -$752 | -$1,000 | -$1,250 |
| $224 (-2%) | -$246 | -$481 | -$774 | -$1,250 |
| $229 (0%) โ spot | -$14 | -$258 | -$566 | -$1,250 |
| $234 (+2%) | +$246 | -$1 | -$310 | -$891 |
| $240 (+5%) | +$684 | +$445 | +$156 | -$204 |
| $252 (+10%) | +$1,530 | +$1,323 | +$1,103 | +$941 |
| $255 (+11%) โ target | +$1,780 | +$1,584 | +$1,384 | +$1,250 |
| $263 (+15%) | +$2,490 | +$2,325 | +$2,175 | +$2,086 |
| $275 (+20%) | +$3,527 | +$3,401 | +$3,299 | +$3,231 |
Uses HON's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.